Improvement of Road Traffic Safety on the Basis of Forecasting a Potential Danger in Places of Conflict Situations

Dzianis Kapski, Ivan Leonovich


The paper gives the results of perfecting of the method for forecasting accident rate susceptibility on the controlled crossroads of potential danger. The program allowing to reduce the labour expenditures in forecasting the accident rate probability is developed. Some recommendations for reducing the accident rate probability are worked out. Also recommendations for the road traffic safety improvement at the conflict objects (pedestrian crossings and crossroads) are given. Measures aimed to the improvement of traffic safety at the controlled crossroads are singled out.


accident rate probability; methods of forecasting; potential danger; actions for reducing the accident rate probability

Full Text:



The Analytical Collection on Accident Rate Susceptibility. Minsk: The Polygraphic Center of Ministry of Internal Affairs RB, 2005. 80 p. (in Russian).

SNB 3.03.02-97 Streets and Rroads of Cities, Settlements and Rural Settlements. (in Russian).

Kapsky, D.; Kot, E. The Concept of Development of the Automated Control Systems of Traffic in Byelorussia. Scientific and Technical Magazine “Bulletin BNTU”. Minsk, No 5, 2005, p. 63-66. (in Russian).

Vrubel, J. The Organization of Traffic. Minsk: Fund of Traffic Safety of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Byelorussia, 1996. 326 p. (in Russian).

Operation of Highways and the Organization of Traffic: Studies. The Grant for I. I. Leonovich, N. P. Vyrko, K. P. Shumchik, A. P. Lashchenko’s Technical Colleges. Minsk: Vich. Sc., 1988. 348 p. (in Russian).

Elvik, R. Area-wide Urban Traffic Calming Schemes: a Meta-analysis of Safety Effects. Accident Analysis & Prevention, Vol 33, Issue 3, May 2001, p. 327-336.

Dieng, R. Comparison of Conceptual Graphs for Modeling Knowledge of Multiple Experts: Application to Traffic Accident Analysis. Institut national de recherche en informatique et en automatique: Rapport de recherche No 3161, April 1997. 88 p.

Babkov, V. Road Conditions and Traffic Safety. Moscow: Transport, 1993. 271 p. (in Russian).

Kapsky, D. Forecasting of Accident Rate Susceptibility for Adjustable Disputed Objects. Safety of Traffic Ukraine. Kiev: MIA Ukraine, No 3-4 (21), 2005, p. 78-88. (in Russian).

Taber, J. T. Multi-objective Optimisation of Intersection and Roadway Access Design. rincipal Investigator, Utah Transportation Center: Utah State University, 1998. 78 p.


  • There are currently no refbacks.

Copyright (c) 2006 Vilnius Gediminas Technical University (VGTU) Press Technika