Road Accident Prediction Model for the Roads of National Significance of Lithuania

Vilma Jasiūnienė, Donatas Čygas


This summary of the author’s PhD thesis defended on 20 December 2012 at the Vilnius Gediminas Technical University. The thesis is written in Lithuanian and is available from the author upon request. Chapter 1 describes the analysis of road infrastructure safety management procedures and their implementation. Chapter 2 gives the overview of accident prediction models and the principles of their development. Chapter 3 presents the designed accident prediction algorithm for the roads of national significance of Lithuania, the developed mathematical accident prediction models for homogenous groups of roads and junctions, the implemented network safety ranking and the determined road sections with a potentially high accident concentration. Chapter 4 describes the testing and analysis of software intended for the implementation of accident prediction algorithm.


road safety; road accident; accident prediction model; road network safety ranking

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DOI: 10.3846/bjrbe.2013.09


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