A Novel Approach to Analysis of Road Accidents Using the Trend Analysis and IPTA Method: A Case Study of Kosovo

Ramadan Mazrekaj; Bojan Đurin; Ahmet Shala; Shpetim Lajqi; Ebrahim Alamatian

doi:10.7250/bjrbe.2022-17.576

A Novel Approach to Analysis of Road Accidents Using the Trend Analysis and IPTA Method: A Case Study of Kosovo

Authors

Ramadan Mazrekaj Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Prishtina “HASAN PRISHTINA”, Prishtina, Kosovo https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6750-7410
Bojan Đurin Department of Civil Engineering, University North, Varaždin, Croatia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2361-8036
Ahmet Shala Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Prishtina “HASAN PRISHTINA”, Prishtina, Kosovo https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5978-1807
Shpetim Lajqi Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Prishtina “HASAN PRISHTINA”, Prishtina, Kosovo https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5091-2460
Ebrahim Alamatian Khavaran Institute of Higher Education, Mashhad, Iran https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2254-758X

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.7250/bjrbe.2022-17.576

Keywords:

IPTA method, Kosovo, road accidents, traffic, trend analysis

Abstract

Road accidents in Kosovo cause more than 100 deaths each year and about EUR 40 million in property damage. The paper presents an accident prediction model that relates accident frequency to various contributory factors and is developed using trend analysis and the Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis method. In addition, the study investigates road traffic accidents using a novel methodology to compare the different modes and other parameters. The presented research also discusses the road safety in Kosovo, which is a Republic with relatively low economic growth based on GDP per capita, a young population, an increase in the number of vehicles per capita, and an increase in the number of road accidents, but a decline in the number of deaths from road accidents in recent years.

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A Novel Approach to Analysis of Road Accidents Using the Trend Analysis and IPTA Method: A Case Study of Kosovo

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